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QuantMig outputs include all public deliverables of the project, links to any academic publications produced by the team based on the project work, as well as policy and other briefing papers, which we will be successively added as the project progresses.

All project deliverables are available for download from the links below.





DELIVERABLE 1.1

Assessing Uncertain Migration Futures: A Typology of the Unknown
By Jakub Bijak , Mathias Czaika | Jun 2020
Download   835 KB

DELIVERABLE 1.4

Theorising the interaction between migration-relevant policies and migration driver environments
By Mathias Czaika , Marta Bivand E rdal, Cathrine Taller aas | Sep 2021
Download   1.3 MB

DELIVERABLE 1.2

Translating migration theory into empirical propositions
By JÝrgen Carling, Mathias Czaika and Marta Bivand Erdal | Oct 2020
Download   810 KB

DELIVERABLE 1.5

European migration governance in the context of uncertainty
By Mathias Czaika, Heidrun Bohnet, Federica Zardo, Jakub Bijak | Feb 2023
Download   878 KB

DELIVERABLE 1.3

Migration Decision Dimensions and its key Dimensions
By Mathias Czaika , Jakub Bijak and Toby Prike | May 2021
Download   745 KB



DELIVERABLE 2.1

Survey instruments and survey data on migration aspirations
By JÝrgen Carling and Mathilde BŚlsrud Mjelva | Feb 2021
Download   3.2 MB

DELIVERABLE 2.4

Simulation of international migration with individual preferences and immigration quota
By Frans Willekens | Apr 2022
Download   1.4 MB

DELIVERABLE 2.7

Conflict-related determinants of migration
By Marta Bivand Erdal, Mathilde BŚlsrud Mjelva, Andreas ForÝ Tollefsen | Jun 2023
Download   1.2 MB

DELIVERABLE 3.4

The determinants of Refugeesí Destinations: Where Do Refugees Locate within the EU?
By Valentina Di Iasio, Jackline Wahba | Sep 2022
Download   2.7 MB

DELIVERABLE 4.1

QuantMig Migration Data Inventory: Webinar Presentation 28 May 2021
By | May 2021
Download   590 KB

DELIVERABLE 4.3

The intra-European mobility of non-European-born migrants
By MichaŽl Boissonneault, Rafael Costa | Oct 2022
Download   1.8 MB

DELIVERABLE 2.2

Systematic review of determinants of migration aspirations
By Maryam Aslany, JÝrgen Carling, Mathilde BŚlsrud Mjelva, Tone Sommerfelt | Jan 2021
Download   3.7 MB


DELIVERABLE 2.5

Empirical Analyses of Determinants of Migration Aspirations
By Maryam Aslany , Tone Sommerfelt, JÝrgen Carling | Jul 2022
Download   1.2 MB

DELIVERABLE 3.2

Brexit uncertainty and UK migration: Should I go?
By Valentina Di Iasio, Jackline Wahba | Mar 2021
Download   2.1 MB

DELIVERABLE 3.5

Policy, Uncertainty and Attitudes: What Drives EU Migration?
By Valentina Di Iasio, Jackline Wahba | Jul 2023
Download   452 KB


DELIVERABLE 4.1

QuantMig Migration Data Inventory: Documentation
By Jarl Mooyaart, Akira SotoNishimura , Mathias Czaika and Helga de Valk | Apr 2020
Download   1,008 KB

DELIVERABLE 2.3

The emigration decision process - Foundations for modelling
By Frans Willekens | Jul 2021
Download   1.3 MB

DELIVERABLE 2.6

Climate and International Migration Flows: A Sensitivity Analysis of Gravity Model Specifications
By Jonas Vestby , Andreas ForÝ Tollefsen, Halvard Buhaug | Jun 2022
Download   1.8 MB

DELIVERABLE 3.3

Natives' Attitudes and Immigration Flows to Europe
By Valentina Di Iasio, Jackline Wahba | Sep 2021
Download   1.3 MB

DELIVERABLE 3.6

Policy Brief: Where and Why Do Refugees Locate within the EU?
By Valentina Di Iasio, Jackline Wahba | Mar 2023
Download   595 KB

DELIVERABLE 4.2

Intra-EU Migration 2010-2020
By Jarl Mooyaart, Helga de Valk | Mar 2020
Download   1,020 KB

DELIVERABLE 5.2

Spatial and categorical dependence of European migration flows
By Mathias Czaika , Heidrun Bohnet and Akira SotoNishimura | Mar 2021
Download   3.0 MB

DELIVERABLE 5.7

Migration pathways into Europe - An assessment of drivers and policies
By Akira Soto Nishimura and Mathias Czaika | Sep 2022
Download   1.3 MB


DELIVERABLE 6.3

Technical Report: Estimation methodology
By Georgios Aristotelous, Peter W. F. Smith, Jakub Bijak | Jun 2022
Download   3.6 MB


DELIVERABLE 5.5

Disentangling the European Migration Policy Mix since 1990
By Mathias Czaika , Heidrun Bohnet, and Federica Zardo | Nov 2021
Download   1.7 MB

DELIVERABLE 6.1

Expert opinion on migration data
By Nico Keilman, Georgios Aristotelous | Feb 2021
Download   11.7 MB

DELIVERABLE 6.4

Database: Migration estimates
By Georgios Aristotelous | Aug 2023
Download   822 KB

DELIVERABLE 5.6

Migration Drivers Database
By Akira Soto Nishimura and Mathias Czaika | Feb 2022
Download   847 KB

DELIVERABLE 6.2

Quality assessment of European migration data
By Jarl Mooyaart, Maciej J. Da?ko, Rafael Costa, MichaŽl Boissonneault | Jun 2021
Download   1.5 MB

DELIVERABLE 7.1

The use of migration scenarios in future characterisations: A systematic review and typology
By MichaŽl Boissonneault, Jarl Mooyaart, Petra de Jong, Helga de Valk | Oct 2020
Download   968 KB

DELIVERABLE 8.1

QuantMig microsimulation tool
By Guillaume Marois and Michaela Potancokova | Jul 2023
Download   786 KB

DELIVERABLE 9.1

Conceptualisation and Analysis of Migration Uncertainty: Insights from Macroeconomics
By Emily Barker, Jakub Bijak | Dec 2020
Download   4.2 MB

DELIVERABLE 9.4

European migration scenarios with probabilistic uncertainty assessment
By Jakub Bijak | Jun 2023
Download   8.4 MB

DELIVERABLE 7.2

The future of migration between Europe and the Middle East & North Africa
By MichaŽl Boissonneault, Rafael Costa, Helga de Valk | Apr 2022
Download   2.9 MB

DELIVERABLE 8.2

Technical report: QuantMig-Mic microsimulation population projection model
By Guillaume Marois, Michaela Potancokova and Miguel GonzŠlez-Leonardo | Jul 2023
Download   1.7 MB


DELIVERABLE 9.2

Uncertainty in Migration Scenarios
By Emily R. Barker, Jakub Bijak | Oct 2021
Download   7.1 MB

DELIVERABLE 9.5

Enlargements of the European Labour Market
By Emily R. Barker | Dec 2021
Download   3.0 MB

DELIVERABLE 7.3

QuantMig survey on the future of migration: guide to the generated databases
By MichaŽl Boissonneault, Rafael Costa | Dec 2022
Download   522 KB

DELIVERABLE 8.3

Database: Model outputs for dissemination
By Michaela Potancokova, Guillaume Marois | Jul 2023
Download   496 KB

DELIVERABLE 9.3

Could we have seen it coming? Towards an early warning system for asylum applications in the EU
By Emily R. Barker, Jakub Bijak | Oct 2022
Download   6.7 MB

DELIVERABLE 10.1

Discussion paper & policy brief: scenario results
By Michaela Potancokova | Jul 2023
Download   6.7 MB

DELIVERABLE 11.1

First Policy Brief: Output from 1st policy expert meeting
By Daniela Vono de Vilhena , Jakub Bijak | Jan 2021
Download   821 KB

DELIVERABLE 11.4

Second Technical Webinar
By Daniela Vono de Vilhena | Aug 2023
Download   290 KB

DELIVERABLE 10.3

Technical Report: User Guide to Scenarios
By Miguel GonzŠlez-Leonardo and Michaela Potancokova | Jul 2023
Download   1.4 MB

DELIVERABLE 11.2

First Technical Webinar
By Daniela Vono de Vilhena | Jan 2021
Download   485 KB

DELIVERABLE 11.5

Discussion paper: Output from stakeholder event
By Daniela Vono de Vilhena | Jul 2023
Download   748 KB

DELIVERABLE 10.4

Documentation of QuantMig Web Tools for Data and Simulations
By Michaela Potancokova, Jason Sadler, Jakub Bijak, Miguel GonzŠlez-Leonardo and Akira Soto-Nishimura | Jul 2023
Download   1.7 MB


DELIVERABLE 11.3

Second Policy Brief: Output from 2nd policy expert meeting
By Daniela Vono de Vilhena | Apr 2022
Download   976 KB

DELIVERABLE 11.6

Simulation tool: young audiences
By Daniela Vono de Vilhena | Jul 2023
Download   565 KB



This work has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 870299 QuantMig: Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy. This document reflects the authors'view and the Research Executive Agency of the European Commission are not responsible for any use that may be made of the information it contains.

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